Tonight England play a rival who have caused some upset in the past and dashed English hopes and, for a change, the markets are reflecting this.
This Poland side are lacking in my opinion. Their attempt this Summer, as co-hosts, to show a certain level futtered out quickly with their failure to move past the group stage.
England have won 9, drawn 2 and lost just 1 of their last 12 away games. With a victory tonight, they can all but look past this stage and concentrate on training & planning for the final event.
As suggested, tonight's markets are on our side. At 1.98, England are massive IMO and, with cover on 1-1, look a very safe trade. With few goals expected, should it go pear shaped, real trouble should be easily avoidable.
That expectation of few goals leaves Overs at 2.28, which is probably about right but will definitely be worth trading in-play, around the stats, for the first goal.
Whatever you trade, stay green.